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Cowboys Hope Balance is Again the Key Against Giants

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It has become clear to America’s Bookie customers at this point in the season that the Dallas Cowboys are very much for real. After ten games, they are tied for the lead in the NFC East, and even though a playoff spot isn’t absolutely guaranteed, they are in pretty good shape. One of the teams that is not in very good shape is the New York Giants, who have not been able to overcome some of the key injuries they have suffered and may be in the midst of a transition. On Sunday night the Cowboys will try to drive the final nail in the coffin of the Giants, in NBC-televised NFL betting action that begins at 8:30 PM ET at MetLife Stadium in the Meadowlands.

Dallas has a 7-3 straight-up record, and depending on how the Philadelphia Eagles do earlier in the day, they will either be a half-game ahead or have-game behind in the division. They are 6-4 against the football pointspread. The Giants have been absolutely dismal for their football betting backers this year; they are not only 3-7 straight-up, and also have that same record against the number, but they are currently on a streak with a have lost five straight games SU and ATS.

Dallas, at last, as a tremendously balanced offense in terms of play selection, as well as a defense that has greatly over-achieved, by anyone’s measure. The question at this point isn’t whether this is a genuine playoff contender, but how far they could actually take it in the post-season, if they got there.

In the NFL betting line for Sunday night football, as has been established by the people at America’s Bookie, the Cowboys are laying points on the road:

Dallas Cowboys -4
New York Giants  +4

Over 47 points  -110
Under 47 points  -110

The Dallas defense was not only the worst in the NFL last season, it was one of the worst in the history of the league. So nothing was going to happen for the Cowboys unless they improved in that capacity. No one is going to sit here and say that the job is finished, but there is little question that the Cowboys are keeping everything under relative control. They have allowed 21 points per game, and 4.4 yards per carry, but they have managed some stirring performances at times. One example of that was their trip to play the Seahawks, where they held Seattle to nine first downs and came up with the victory in an extremely difficult place to perform. And opponents have averaged only 11.4 yards per reception, so they are “keeping it in the ballpark,” so to speak.

America’s Bookie customers know, however, that the big strides have been made on the offensive side of the football. It’s not as if DeMarco Murray was completely undiscovered before, but now he has managed to remain healthy, and he leads the NFL in rushing by a wide margin. In fact, coming into this week’s games, he had 1233 yards, with a huge gap to the second-place guy, Pittsburgh’s Le’Veon Bell. So what happens when it running back averages 5.1 yards per attempt? Well, it makes it much easier for his team eventually if they get into a third-down situation. And the stats have demonstrated that; the Cowboys are 51% successful on third-down conversions. And you’ve got to wonder what the Giants can do to prevent that, considering that they have yielded 4.9 yards per carry.

NFL bettors in the America’s Bookie audience don’t often see the team that runs the ball half the time and passes it half the time. The Cowboys get about as close to perfect balance in this area as any other team in the league. And this is a factor that makes things much more difficult on any defensive coordinator, because there is no such thing as a “run-first” or “pass-first” offense to deal with.

Tony Romo should be a lot fresher here. He suffered a minor re-occurrence of his back injury against the Giants last time out (a 31-21 victory) and set out a couple of games, then returned in London against Jacksonville, throwing three touchdown passes. He has averaged 8.3 yards per attempt and is 69% accurate. He is finding out that when the opposition has to spend a lot of time worrying about your running attack, it makes the passing game all the more dangerous.

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