Penn State and Michigan are Big Ten opponents and two of the conference’s biggest programs. This page tracks how sportsbooks price every meeting: the opening and closing lines, how far prices differ between books and the result. We update it before and after each game.
Next meeting: Penn State at Michigan, Saturday, October 17
Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET. The prices below are an OddsBay snapshot from October 14, 2026, and they will move before kickoff. Compare live prices on the OddsBay price finder.
- Spread: Michigan −6.5 (consensus across books)
- Total: 42.5
- Moneyline: Michigan −245 (about 71%), Penn State +200 (about 33%)
- Sportsbooks tracked: 45
How the line has moved
When OddsBay first recorded prices from several books, on Oct 13, the line was Michigan −6.5 with a total of 42.5. It is now Michigan −6.5 with a total of 42.5. Most books posted this game only in the last few days, with Michigan favored by about a touchdown and a low total near 42.5.
Our guides to line movement and the closing line explain what a move like this can and cannot tell you.
How the teams have played this season
From the games OddsBay recorded this season, measured against each game’s closing line:
- Penn State: 1–3 straight up, 0–4 against the closing spread; 1 over and 2 unders; 20.8 points scored and 24.5 allowed per game.
- Michigan: 2–2 straight up, 2–2 against the closing spread; 2 overs and 2 unders; 25.5 points scored and 16.8 allowed per game.
These records cover only the games OddsBay recorded, a handful per team, and the market already knows them, so use them as context rather than a reason to bet. Penn State has not covered the spread in any of its four recorded games.
Line shopping for this game
As of the snapshot, OddsBay tracked these moneyline prices:
- Penn State moneyline: from +162 at the worst book to +213 at the best. A winning $100 bet pays $51 more at the best price.
- Michigan moneyline: from −278 at the worst book to −217 at the best. A winning $100 bet pays $10 more at the best price.
- The spread: books were split between 57 books at −6.5, 4 books at −7, 2 books at −5.5.

Our line shopping guide shows how to compare books, and the vig guide explains why their prices differ.
What to check before kickoff
- Quarterbacks and injuries. College injury news is less formal than the NFL’s, so check team reports close to kickoff.
- Weather. Wind and rain affect totals most.
- Margins. College games are often decided by more than a touchdown; see our college football key numbers guide.
- Rivalry narratives. Records are already in the price; our rivalry games guide explains why.
- Prices across books. Compare on the odds comparison, then compare your price with the close.
Penn State vs Michigan: the OddsBay record
OddsBay began tracking college football in September 2026, so this is the first meeting between these teams on record. After the game we add the closing line, the result and a chart of how the line moved.
More college football matchup guides
Alabama vs Tennessee, Auburn vs Georgia, Florida State vs Miami, Kansas vs Kansas State, North Carolina vs Duke, Georgia vs Alabama, Auburn vs Tennessee, Iowa State vs BYU, BYU vs TCU, Miami vs Clemson, Ole Miss vs Florida, Iowa vs Michigan, Ohio State vs Iowa, Iowa vs Washington, Texas A&M vs LSU, Texas vs Oklahoma, Oregon vs USC, USC vs Penn State, Texas vs Tennessee, Washington vs USC
Betting responsibly
Rivalry games attract emotional bets. Decide your stake in advance (our guide to bankroll management shows how) and treat betting as entertainment. If gambling stops being fun, help is available: in the United States, the National Problem Gambling Helpline is available 24/7 by calling or texting 1-800-MY-RESET.
Key takeaways
- Penn State and Michigan are Big Ten opponents.
- As of October 14, Michigan was favored by 6.5 with a total of 42.5.
- The line has moved from Michigan −6.5 to Michigan −6.5 since OddsBay first recorded it.
Frequently asked questions
When do Penn State and Michigan play?
Saturday, October 17, 2026, at 3:30 p.m. ET, in Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Who is favored in Penn State vs Michigan?
Michigan, by about 6.5 points as of October 14, 2026. Lines move before kickoff, so check current prices.

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